xGoals% (xGF%)

Expected Goals percentage — the proportion of expected goals a team generates vs. allows. Accounts for shot quality (distance, angle, type). Teams above 50% are generating more dangerous chances than they allow. Carolina's 70.6% was the league's best — historic dominance level.

Corsi% (CF%)

Shot Attempts percentage — counts all shot attempts (on goal, missed, blocked) for and against. A pure shot volume metric that correlates strongly with possession. Teams above 55% are controlling play significantly. Also called "possession proxy" — the backbone of modern hockey analytics.

Fenwick% (FF%)

Unblocked Shot Attempts percentage — like Corsi but excludes blocked shots, which are partly dependent on the opposing team. Many analysts prefer Fenwick as it's more directly under a team's control. Generally tracks closely with Corsi.

PDO

Shooting% + Save% combined. The sum approaches 100 for most teams — high PDO (above 102) often indicates luck or unsustainable play. Low PDO (below 98) may indicate a team is due for positive regression. Used to identify over- and under-performing teams relative to their underlying metrics.

MoneyPuck Simulations

MoneyPuck runs thousands of playoff simulations using xGoals, team strength ratings, schedule and home-ice advantage. The resulting probabilities represent how often each team wins the Cup (or advances) across all simulations. Updated after each game. More reliable than betting odds for long-term trends.

Score-Adjusted xG

Adjusts expected goals for game score — teams winning by 2+ goals play more defensively, leading teams to "coast." Score adjustments normalize for this effect, giving a cleaner picture of true team strength independent of game state. Most predictive variant for future performance.